India and China can do the unthinkable
By Ritvvij Parrikh
Chinese sea lines from the Middle East to its ports in South China Sea pass through many choke points, most importantly the Straits of Malacca. In times of conflict, they are places where the supply of crude oil and iron ore needed to keep the Chinese economy growing could be cut.
Being a sensible world power, China is trying to mitigate the risks. First it has invested in a series of ports dotted all across the Indian Ocean, in the Seychelles, Pakistan, the Maldives, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Myanmar. Next, China is investing in road
and rail links, and possibly gas pipelines, from Pakistan, Bangladesh and Myanmar.
Recipients of this aid get improved infrastructure, foreign investment and a chance to earn transit fees from China. In return, the China builds alternate trade routes and its goods gain access to new markets. It is a win-win deal for all - except India.
India sees these Chinese investments with mistrust and as an attempt to encircle it. Accordingly, in turn, India is boosting its defense budgets, setting up new corps in the areas bordering China, investing in nuclear submarines and increasing the prowess of its navy.
China is expanding its railway network deep into Tibetan Autonomous Region. It is building a 770-kilometer railway line connecting Lhasa to Nepal and there are plans to extend the line all the way to Nathu La, a mountain pass connecting Tibet with India. These investments have allowed China to pour in troops into Tibet to quell unrests.
Since 2008, the Indian economy has been facing policy paralysis, unabated inflation, huge public debt and budget deficit. India is trying hard to woo foreign direct investment (FDI) into the country. The government first tried to bring in FDI in multi-brand retail, which was voted out by the government’s allies.
During his visit to South Korea for the Nuclear Security Summit in March, Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh pitched for Korean investment in India's infrastructure sector. Later, at the BRICS summit in New Delhi, he did the same, this time with the outgoing Chinese premier. And now, the government is planning to allow up to 49% in foreign direct investment in the airline industry.
Against the backdrop of tense border relations and a need for ties between their markets, one must ask how India and China want to see their respective relations shape up in the coming years? Does China want India to team up with the US, Japan, Vietnam and Australia? Does India want China to keep it holed up in the subcontinent? India will have to think out of the box to solve these issues and perhaps do the unthinkable, just as then United States president Richard Nixon did by visiting China in 1972.
Taking all of this into consideration, New Delhi must proactively offer Beijing a secured transit route. The Indian navy ships will protect and ensure safe delivery of Chinese cargo ships to an Indian port in either the state of Karnataka, Gujarat or West Bengal. From there, the cargo can be transported via a dedicated rail corridor to mainland China through either the Nathula pass in Sikkim or Nepal or from Jammu and Kashmir, onto Gilgit Baltistan and finally through the Karakoram.
How does a transit route for Chinese cargo through India help India and China? It is a win-win situation. China gets an alternate route through a more stable and lawful country than through Pakistan or Myanmar. India on the other hand can receive immediate Chinese investments in infrastructure. And most importantly, both countries sign a strategic cooperative deal.
How does this affect Indian security in case of a conflict between the two nations in the future? For India successfully defend and hold its territory in the north-eastern states, India has to invest in improving if not matching Chinese investments in infrastructure. Improved infrastructure will only improve India’s security state.
Ritvvij Parrikh is a Mumbai-based social entrepreneur and a geopolitics enthusiast, who can be contacted at ritvij.j@gmail.com
and make them better for people overthere to live in??instead of just
looking for national interests?
proof of India acting never as an interfering, pain-in-your-ass country
for any one. It is expected we strive towards the noble dream of Tagore,
to have our head held high with confidence and due removal of ignorance,
both social and unscientific ought to be poured in.
Intelligence is an oxymoron. Thank you Vice-Marshall for stating "Capability is never equal to power unless it is backed by intent and willingness to use the power" ...I also believe India should not even have even a stretch goal of being a Global super power. The Indian genetic selection does not breed warrior clan. You need to wield the stick to be a super power in the world. The Indian genetic selection is not breed capitalist mentality. Which is another trait which brings in the facade of Global domination. Indian genetic selection is based of the power of knowledge and the ability to adapt to adversity. We should strive to be the "Good Country" of the world
which feeds the World and contributes to the intellectual development of the human race. History has clearly shown, the glory of a super power is short lived and is just biding time before a violent demise.
any other power. If i go by your definition of Super Power "Should
have the ability to both exert influence and exercise power in its
areas of interest, wherever that may be across the globe", i think
India is definitely a Super Power as it is already influencing many
countries via its Soft Power.You don't have to be an aggressive nation
to exert influence on other Countries. In the coming centuries, the
power of a country may not be determined only by its Military
strength, so India will play a greater role than any other country.
developed nation in the next 100 years or so, as exploding population,
high corruption, infighting, chaotic diverisity and democracy, blind
faith, unorganised industrial and govt.,machinaries are detrimental to
any country's progress.
nation cannot be realised until we leverage our freedom and intellect
with the motivation to reach higher echelons, and that endeavour to
perform work rather than the "still thinking of rational move" type
mentality. This is applicable to people as well as governments, both
collectively represents a nation. The political power in India mainly cares about the consolidation of its position for Exploitation and Tenures. Histories have proved that such nature of political power are temporary and eventually get fragile. It is time political power realise a long term interests on good administration which alone would bring capacities of inclusiveness shaping our country as a prosperous and dignified.
become superpower unless we have strong powerful governance with more
international significance, more developed infrastructure, mentioning
its right position as a mediator, leader with good relationship with
our neighboring countries...etc...many more things are required...
just GDP growth on paper doesnt make us superpower at all...
I support more aggressive approach then what you mention in the article.
upon the same path, it has been walking upon for centuries.
Indians from time immemorial and still our belief and values are deep
rooted in this subcontinent. So the ultimatum is more or less to provide
a stable environment at the vicinity of the Indian subcontinent rather
than manipulating and horse trading in the internal matters of the other
countries. This type of walking the rope can be aptly called as the
INDIAN WAY of diplomacy in the World arena...
Consequently, Sectarian attitudes dominated the minds of the people and patriotism of one nation was found absence. Besides,Indian people are not labourious. Nor do they possess high ambition and vision of progress.
Even after India attained independence in 1947,sectarian attitude is dominating the minds of millions of India. Patriotism is confined to few ones.
1.Unity of the People-Unfortunately the blunder of Division of the Union as Linguistic States ,Cultural and Caste/Religious Divides kept on burning by unscrupulous people
2.LACK OF INTENT and LACK OF COMMITMENT-we have not succeeded in setting up fool proof systems to protect our borders and sea coast from intruders and smugglers of arms and FAKE Notes.
3.We have not been able to establish an association of sorts with
our immediate neighbours.
4We have failed in instilling a" NATION"sense in our people-especially the ruling class."We will STOP Water to Tamil Nadu"one
C.M declared recently.
5.Successive proposals for more integration (Nation Rriver Grid for example) have been torpidoed.
May be We spent the Highest on Defence-but not value for money
achievement
with current global socio-economic problems and geopolitical situations.
.
stabilize the internal problems. Corruption, poverty, economic
inequality must all be driven out of India. How shameful it is that we
are growing at super fast pace and yet we receive monetary support
from external countries, foundations, etc. As long as India is unable
to solve its own problems itself, it shouldn't look at being a
superpower. Its so weird that India is one country where you have
Billionaires who are among the richest in the world and the same
country's government fixes less than 50 cents a day for a person to be
called 'not poor'. Its because of the stupid think-tanks like the NAC,
Planning commission, etc. that we Indians are always under the wrong
impression about ourselves. Wake up Indians! We are nowhere near being
a Superpower.
I am sorry but I think it is time we stop taking cover behind words like Superpower, BRIC, Incredible, Jugaad etc etc and instead just focus on education, food and shelter for all and most imporantly care for one another.
The west usually harps on how India cannot be a superpower and should
stay within its humble limits. But at times, it tells how India has to
take more interest in global affairs to match its financial clout
(Usually when the west wants India to support some or other western
position) And right now, they haven't figured out where to place us,
how to read us or even been able to accommodate us as something more
than a banana republic. (The US is better at tuning into current
realities, Britain still holds on to colonial world views and shows
inability to adapt) Most articles from British and American sources
display these confusions. French scholars actually seem to understand
us much better. They place us right, discuss our strengths and
weaknesses without excessive admiration or ridicule and even show an
understanding of the cultural framework from which we are likely to
act.
If we relate to distant and immediate history, we can consider that the argumentation of the author is correct.What have become today Sparta or Athens? What remains today of the Egyptians, Assyrians or Persians? Yet at the time it was great powers.And what about French, English, Spanish past powers?These countries continue to exercise a certain influence today. They have an illusion to be Great powers. But they are not. And what about Soviet Union who after Yalta compete with the United States and launched into a disastrous arms race. The fall of the Berlin Wall, showed well the failure of this big policy. The specialists know that this country was not able to maintain the foundations of his past greatness. Just look to the submarine fleet in some Siberian ports. The reductions that the United States started in defence should also ask questions on the future of American supremacy. Remains the case of China, which like India has always existed despite the colonial past. Today the growth of Chinese military spending at a high rate may lead to the fiasco known by the USSR.In conclusion, India does not need to be a great power to exist. She just need to continue on the path that belongs to her . She will shine as it shone in the past and as she will in the future. She must be vigilant not to fall asleep. India must remain India and must not forget that the world change. But history has taught this.
in politics in South-Asian Nation ie UNSC, We r able to check
dictatorship of tyrancies or autocracy in middle east and african
nations. India stated aspirin for UNSC membership along with emerging
countries it is indirectly convening to global powers as the future
world won't b dictated by superpowers on the basis of imerging as
India playing a greater role on world politics.
So the word Superpower itself will find no meaning within a decade or
so after
mindless selfish game. What we require in the present world is the power within our
people and the country so that no superpower can lure us into greed, dominance of
others and wars to justify our commercial interests and also to be part of the so-
called superpower club.
people or give them jobs? Can we rid ourselves of the corruption, and its
practitioners? If we do that, we will have achieved a status better than super
power'dom'.
grass-roots level on many issues. Why, they are not even ready to
persecute a terrorist caught red-handed waging a war against India in
2008. First of all, India should become a power to reckon with before
thinking of becoming a super power.
Firstly corruption has to be removed and each Indian should be infused
with a sense of identity and National Pride. I think most of the youth
today like to identify themselves with the western culture and imitate
(poorly) their mannerisms and behaviour. Indians should be made to
understand that they are second to none. A civic feeling of developing
the nation should be inculcated into the people's mind. This will
slowly lead to India becoming a power to reckon with.
Let's think about super power after that.
infrastructure issues first. Next, try to promote peace through
diplomacy and support for programs which do the above things in other
countries. Trying to become a military superpower only squanders
resources and breeds hate for the supposed superpower, as demonstrated
in wars around the world.
A part from the above comments and definition of the article,I state three major reasons for underdevelopment of India.They are:
1.Caste,religion and regionalism.
Yes these three cocepts influence much in our country where they create obstacles for development.
Lot more to discuss about the topic.But concisely,"Indian super power optimists should concentrate on internal development with strong leadership which inturn provides opportunity to lead the world"
Thanks to the author who brought the terms for discussion.
done in India is arbitrary. Right from getting your birth certificate to death certificate, registering a house or a business,voting in or voting out governments, nothing is done according to a plan.India first needs a good government,not the thieves that are currently sitting in Delhi.The author was right that India has never tried to influence other nations, that's because Indians never tire of fighting themselves, forget trying to project power abroad!!! When India's top general says that there the majority of the Indian Army is obsolete, then where is all the money going? Why is India still building expressways that look like local roads in the US? Why can China build far better roads? Why do Indians exult when a metro network is built in one city of Delhi, when countries like Russia, US and China have massive metro networks in all major cities? Forget superpowerdom,trying being a normal developed country first!
elimination of gerontology in domestic politics (retire them all by law at 65 or earlier!); introduce merit based social development and eliminate once and for all times current caste system of social order (eg. recent UP elections); and debate without rancor the cost/benefit of guns vs. butter.
Enemies are of two types. One, who have no qualms in showing their animosity, and the other who pretend to be friends and flatter you to boost your ego and make you do things that you can’t, and thus put you to hardship and shame. India is indeed a big power, and I am sure that its people are mature enough to avoid the fate of superpowers after looking into what happened to Soviet Union and America shouldering the responsibilities of a superpower under the advice of thinkers like Fawad Ajami. Pursuing national interest is Ok, but we should not forget that we all share the same planet.
More than half of its population is under malnutrition; no basic amenities; Patriotic zeal is missing in most of the politicians. Political parties are the family business establishments; Very Very Poor maintenance of public toilets at the bus-stands, railway stations, crowded market place(seems to be a ‘hell’. Most of the public toilets were locked for want of water. Agriculture is not promoted by the govts by giving fertilisers and other essential commodities required for cultivating paddy, wheat, etc free of cost. Moreover democracy is not maintained at all by political parties; A political party president or secretary remain in the post for ever as if the party is the property of his / her family; The electorate does not have the power to command the people’s representatives to serve for the people’s welfare.
To India, what's more important is get rid of corruption, poverty, provide equal rights to women, resolve all problems with its neighbors, and lead the world's largest democracy peacefully. That would mean much more than a Superpower.
Kids in our villages need to be provided with safe drinking water, toilets, well-staffed primary schools, nutrition, decent class rooms, play grounds, healthcare facilities and possibilities to recreate. During the monsoons the approach roads leading to some of our village schools turn into deep pools of murk and red water. Year after year it is the same story.
Our State run hospitals and medical college hospitals need careful monitoring. Often one hears sick "Aam Aadmi without proper connections is mortally scared of our hospitals".
We need to take care of our farming community. Our senior citizens need to be given proper care and attention during their final years around. Such super human ways can take us to the real Superpower stage.
that no superpower can influence us in any areas, we must take our
own decisions, simply we don't want to control anybody, also we have
ever done, but no one should be able to control us in any case.
For that we must set our targets beyond the existence, which means,
we should stop thinking about making India as USA or, Darjeeling as Switzerland or Chennai as Singapore. We should be as unique as we
can, and should make it best or best.
coming from a serving defence officer. Congratulations.
To extrapolate from India's past to decide on how she will act in the
future may lead to an erroneous conclusion. These are unprecedented
times that are changing very fast. India's internal challenges may not
have a bearing on how she 'behaves' with the rest of the World. More
than geographic or military dominance, India will assert her economic
muscle. Not from massive GDPs or dominance in exports, but from sheer
buying power that her growing population possesses. A sample of this
strength is the way India plays the Big Brother in the world of
cricket. No one can ignore the voice of a billion remote controls.
Hence whether India will become a super power or not will not be
decided by the military, but by the fifteen year old Indian who can
shape a nation's voice through one viral tweet of his social network.